AUD/USD Forecast Nov. 20-24

The Australian dollar dips lower amid many economic releases and a “risk-off” atmosphere. The upcoming week features the meeting minutes from the RBA and other releases. Here are the highlights of the week and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD.

The Australian dollar fell alongside other commodity currencies but never went too far. An upbeat NAB figure helped it recover. The jobs report was somewhat mixed, with fewer job gains than predicted but a drop in the unemployment rate. Wages remain an issue for Australia, as they do in other places. In the US, inflation came out slightly above expectations but the dollar was hit by worries that Republicans will not be able to pass the tax cuts.


AUD/USD daily graph with support and resistance lines on it. Click to enlarge:

  • Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes: Tuesday, 00:30. In its latest meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia decided not to rock the boat. In the past, the meeting minutes often revealed a bit more. Will it happen this time? If so, the move could be to the downside, as low inflation should be a source of worry for the central bank.
  • Phillip Lowe talks, Tuesday, 9:05. The Governor of the RBA will be speaking in Sydney and may shed some light on his current views of the economy. Weaker inflation and a mixed jobs report could prompt him to lean to the dovish side, adding further pressure on the Aussie.
  • MI Leading Index: Tuesday, 23:30. This indicator by the Melbourne Institute provides a wide view on the economy with this composite index, based on 9 figures. A small rise of 0.1% was seen in September.
  • Construction Work Done: Wednesday, 00:30. The quarterly measure of the construction sector jumped by no less than 9.3% in Q2 2017. Nevertheless, these figures are quite volatile and prone to revisions. A drop may be seen now: -2.1% is expected.
  • AUD/USD Technical Analysis

    The Aussie initially slipped to lower ground, slipping under 0.7625 (mentioned last week). However, it kept on fighting for quite a while.

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    Author: Travis Esquivel

    Travis Esquivel is an engineer, passionate soccer player and full-time dad. He enjoys writing about innovation and technology from time to time.

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