NFP: 222K Jobs But Wages Miss With 0.2% – USD Falls

The US economy gained no less than 222K jobs in June, better than expected. However, wages rise by only 0.2% and with a downwards revision.

The US dollar initiall rose but is now falling.

The US was expected to report a gain of around 180K jobs in June, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%. More importantly, wages carried expectations of 0.3% m/m after 0.2% last time. Y/y, wages rose by 2.5%, stuck.

June 2017 NFP Data (updated)

  • Non-Farm Payrolls:  TBA  (exp. +175K last 138K before revisions)
  • Average Hourly Earnings TBA (exp. +0.3% m/m, 2.6% y/y, last month 0.2% m/m, 2.5% y/y)
  • RevisionsTBA (-66K  last time).
  • Participation Rate: TBA  (62.7% last month )
  • Unemployment Rate: TBA  (exp.4.3%, last month 4.3%)
  • Private Sector: TBA  (ADP showed 158K).
  • Real Unemployment Rate (U-6): TBA  (previous: 8.6%).
  • Employment to population ratio: TBA (previous: 60%)
  • Average workweek: TBA (last month: 34.4).
  • NFP Currency Reaction

  • EUR/USD traded around 1.1420, helped by the upbeat ECB minutes.
  • GBP/USD was under 1.29 after weak UK data: trade, manufacturing, and housing all disappointed in the UK.
  • USD/JPY continued riding higher along the uptrend support level, around 113.70.
  • USD/CAD traded around 1.2980, bouncing higher as oil prices slipped once again. Canada releases its own jobs report at the same time.
  • AUD/USD is around 0.76. The RBA hit the Aussie earlier this week.
  • NFP Background

    Indicators leading into the event were mixed: while soft data such as the ISM surveys were upbeat, ADP data was weak and all in all, inflation is weaker.

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    Author: Travis Esquivel

    Travis Esquivel is an engineer, passionate soccer player and full-time dad. He enjoys writing about innovation and technology from time to time.

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